Os efeitos da expansão da indústria têxtil na economia de Mato Grosso

Abstract

The main purpose of this study is to analyze in a empiric frame and using input-output matrix (model) the importance of the cotton production chain for the economy of Mato Grosso, by calculating several economic indicators for the state and also taking into account its relations with the rest of the Brazil. Among the indicators, the most important are: Intersectoral Linkages Indexes (Rasmussen-Hirschman and Pure Linkage Indexes) and Multipliers (production, employment, value added and ICMS collection). The study also makes an application of the model to verify the effect of an increase in the final demand of the textile industry in the state of Mato Grosso by R$ 584.00 million, which would be equivalent to 10% of the current Final Demand of the sector in São Paulo, which (IBGE, 2016) is the largest producer in the sector "Manufacturing of textile products" in the country (that would be equivalent to increasing the current Final Demand of the state of Mato Grosso by 573%), on the economic indicators in the state and in the rest of Brazil. A second scenario was also created for the purpose of comparison with the first one, also analyzing total production, added value, job creation and tax collection throughout the economy, both within the state of Mato Grosso and in the rest of Brazil. As main results it was verified that the activities of the productive chain of cotton stood out as poles of economic development for the state, due to its commercial links with the other economic activities. In addition, the textiles manufacturing sector was notable for its high employment multiplier and high production value, while the sector herbaceous cotton crop and other temporary agriculture fibers showed a high indirect generation of imports capacity in other sectors and a high added value (remuneration of production factors: land, labor and capital).